Respiratory virus hospitalizations, trends through December 2025
  • Respiratory virus–associated hospitalizations increased substantially (+125.3%) in December 2025 and accounted for nearly 7% of all hospitalizations by the last week of the month. This increase was driven primarily by a rise in influenza-associated hospitalizations (+277.1%).
  • Among adults aged 65 and older, respiratory virus–associated hospitalizations rose sharply (+154.1%), reaching 9.4% of all hospitalizations by the end of December. Influenza-associated hospitalizations in older adults increased more than fourfold across the month and now account for nearly 6% of hospitalizations in this age group.
  • In children aged 0–4 years, RSV-associated hospitalizations remained the leading cause of respiratory-virus associated hospitalizations (1.7% of all hospitalizations at the end of the month).

Respiratory viruses, including COVID-19, influenza, and respiratory syncytial virus (RSV), continue to contribute to hospitalizations across the United States. Vulnerable populations, such as infants, children, and older adults, are particularly at risk of severe outcomes. Few sources regularly monitor hospitalizations associated with respiratory viruses. Truveta Research has created a respiratory virus monitoring report to supplement the surveillance data provided by the CDC by describing weekly trends in the rate of hospitalizations overall and for each of the six most common respiratory viruses: COVID-19, influenza, human metapneumovirus (HMPV), parainfluenza virus, RSV, and rhinovirus. This information can inform decisions about public health, clinical care, and public policy.  

Because Truveta Data provides the most complete, timely, and clean de-identified EHR data, including full patient medical records, notes, and images, linked with closed claims for more than 120 million patients across the US, we can show the latest trends in these respiratory virus-associated hospitalizations, including valuable insight into two at-risk populations: infants and children (age 0-4 years old) and older adults (age 65 and over).  

This report provides a snapshot of the key findings with data through December 2025 in the report specific to the overall population across all respiratory viruses, as well as for two high-risk populations: infants and children (age 0-4 years old) and older adults (age 65 and older). For the full analysis—inclusive of demographics, comorbidities, and overall trends in virus-associated hospitalizations and testing across all age groups for each virus—see the complete report with data through January 4, 2026 on MedRxiv.  

Key findings: Trends in respiratory virus-associated hospitalizations

Using a subset of Truveta Data, we identified 1,010,216 hospitalizations of 885,367 unique patients who tested positive for a respiratory virus between October 1, 2020 and January 4, 2026.

Overall hospitalization rates increasing substantially

The overall rate of respiratory virus-associated hospitalizations increased substantially in December. By the last week of the month, respiratory virus-associated hospitalizations accounted for 6.9% of all hospitalizations, up from 3.0% at the beginning of December. This represents a 125.3% increase over the month.

Line chart showing the percentage of weekly hospital admissions associated with respiratory viruses from October 2020 through early 2026. COVID-19 accounts for the largest share, with major peaks in early 2021 and early 2022, followed by smaller seasonal waves. Influenza shows distinct winter peaks in 2023, 2024, and early 2025. RSV rises modestly each winter, while rhinovirus, parainfluenza, and HMPV remain consistently low. Shaded background indicates respiratory virus seasons from October to September.
Stacked area chart showing the cumulative percentage of weekly hospital admissions associated with respiratory viruses from October 2020 through early 2026. COVID-19 contributes the largest share throughout the period, with a pronounced peak in early 2022. Influenza adds substantial seasonal increases in winter 2023, 2024, and 2025. RSV contributes smaller winter peaks, while rhinovirus, parainfluenza, and HMPV add low but persistent contributions. Shaded background indicates respiratory virus seasons from October to September.

This increase was driven primarily by influenza, with influenza-associated hospitalizations rising from 1.1% to 4.2% of all hospitalizations (+277.1%). COVID- and RSV-associated hospitalizations also increased (+61.8% and +83.7% respectively), while rhinovirus-associated hospitalizations decreased slightly across the month (-19.3%). HMPV- and parainfluenza-associated hospitalizations remained relatively low and stable.

Row of small line charts showing week-to-week changes in the share of hospital admissions associated with respiratory viruses from December 1 to December 29, 2025. Overall respiratory virus–associated hospitalizations increased by 125%. Influenza shows the largest rise (+277%), followed by HMPV (+162%), RSV (+84%), and COVID-19 (+62%). Parainfluenza (−14%) and rhinovirus (−19%) declined over the same period.
Pediatric respiratory virus-associated hospitalizations remain relatively stable

Among children aged 0–4 years, respiratory virus-associated hospitalizations remained relatively stable throughout December and accounted for 3.6% of all hospitalizations by the end of the month.

Line chart showing the percentage of weekly hospital admissions associated with respiratory viruses among infants and children under five from October 2020 through early 2026. RSV accounts for the largest seasonal spikes, with pronounced peaks in late 2022, early 2024, and early 2025. Rhinovirus contributes a steady baseline throughout the period, while influenza shows smaller winter peaks. COVID-19, parainfluenza, and HMPV remain comparatively low. Shaded background indicates respiratory virus seasons from October to September.
Stacked area chart showing the cumulative percentage of weekly hospital admissions associated with respiratory viruses among infants and children under five from October 2020 through early 2026. RSV drives the largest share of hospitalizations, with pronounced seasonal peaks in late 2022, early 2024, and early 2025. Rhinovirus contributes a steady baseline across seasons, while influenza adds smaller winter surges. COVID-19, parainfluenza, and HMPV contribute relatively smaller portions overall. Shaded background indicates respiratory virus seasons from October to September.

This stability reflects opposing trends, with influenza-associated hospitalizations increasing from 0.8% to 1.2% of all hospitalizations, offset by declines in rhinovirus-, COVID-, and parainfluenza-associated hospitalizations.

Row of small line charts showing week-to-week changes in the share of hospital admissions associated with respiratory viruses among infants and children under five from December 1 to December 29, 2025. Overall respiratory virus–associated hospitalizations declined by 7%. Influenza (+45%) and HMPV (+48%) increased over the period, while RSV remained relatively stable (+2%). COVID-19 (−30%), parainfluenza (−75%), and rhinovirus (−54%) showed notable declines.
Respiratory virus-associated hospitalizations increase sharply in adults over 65

Among adults aged 65 and older, respiratory-virus associated hospitalizations increased sharply to 9.4% of all hospitalizations (+154.1%) in the last week of December.

Line chart showing the percentage of weekly hospital admissions associated with respiratory viruses among adults 65 years and older from October 2020 through early 2026. COVID-19 accounts for the largest share of hospitalizations, with major peaks in early 2021 and early 2022 and smaller seasonal waves thereafter. Influenza shows distinct winter peaks in 2023, 2024, and early 2025. RSV contributes modest seasonal increases, while rhinovirus, parainfluenza, and HMPV remain comparatively low. Shaded background indicates respiratory virus seasons from October to September.
Stacked area chart showing the cumulative percentage of weekly hospital admissions associated with respiratory viruses among adults 65 years and older from October 2020 through early 2026. COVID-19 dominates hospitalizations, with a large peak in early 2022 and sustained seasonal contributions thereafter. Influenza adds notable winter surges in 2023, 2024, and early 2025, while RSV contributes smaller seasonal increases. Rhinovirus, parainfluenza, and HMPV make relatively minor contributions overall. Shaded background indicates respiratory virus seasons from October to September.

Influenza-associated hospitalizations increased more than fourfold (+316.1%) and were the primary driver of this increase. COVID-, RSV-, and HMPV-associated hospitalizations also rose (+66.4%, +155.0%, and +157.5%, respectively), while rhinovirus-associated hospitalizations declined slightly. Parainfluenza-associated hospitalizations remained low and stable.

Overall, these findings indicate a substantial increase in respiratory virus associated hospitalizations among older adults across December, driven primarily by influenza, with additional increases also observed for COVID, RSV, and HMPV.

Row of small line charts showing week-to-week changes in the share of hospital admissions associated with respiratory viruses among adults 65 years and older from December 1 to December 29, 2025. Overall respiratory virus–associated hospitalizations increased by 154%. Influenza shows the largest increase (+316%), followed by RSV (+155%), HMPV (+158%), and COVID-19 (+66%). Parainfluenza (−7%) and rhinovirus (−10%) declined slightly over the period.

Discussion

It is important for public health experts and clinical providers to understand the trends in these infections to inform decisions about public health, clinical care, and public policy. Connecting population-level trends with granular clinical information can be very useful to understand which populations are most impacted and may require additional support.  

We will continue to monitor respiratory virus-associated hospitalization overall and for at-risk populations throughout this 2025-2026 respiratory virus season (October 2025 through September 2026).